Engineering Team

This project is developed by a group of Software Engineering students from Sir Syed University of Engineering and Technology:

Strategic Sustainability Goals

Our engineering objectives are mapped to the United Nations SDGs, ensuring that AI innovation directly addresses global energy and consumption challenges.

7

Affordable & Clean Energy

Why: Unpredictable electricity costs create financial instability for residential consumers.
How: The Hybrid Physics Engine provides preemptive awareness by forecasting unit consumption, helping users maintain their energy budget before the cycle ends.

12

Responsible Consumption

Why: Inefficient load patterns increase national peak demand and environmental strain.
How: Our BiLSTM Forecaster identifies temporal dependencies in usage, shifting behavioral patterns toward higher efficiency and reducing waste through intelligent scheduling.

Research Foundation (PRECON)

Our optimization logic is built upon the Pakistan Residential Electricity Consumption (PRECON) dataset, published in 2019 at the ACM International Conference on Future Energy Systems (e-Energy '19). This research was pioneered by the Energy Informatics Group (EIG) at the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS).

PRECON is a first-of-its-kind extensive study designed to enable the development of intelligent smart grids and better demand-side management tools in the residential world. Unlike generic datasets, it provides a highly granular view of Pakistani energy dynamics:

LUMS SBASSE Research ACM e-Energy '19 Developing World Metrics Seasonal Variation Maps
Official LUMS PRECON Project Portal

Neural Architecture Stack

Our system utilizes a Tri-Model Hybrid Pipeline to synthesize energy predictions. By combining statistical machine learning, deep neural networks, and first-principles physics, we eliminate the "black box" problem of standard AI.

Random Forest

REGRESSION

A sophisticated regressor calibrated on 13 zero-leakage features. It handles long-term forecasting by analyzing appliance counts and seasonal drift.

R² ACCURACY: ~0.84

Bidirectional LSTM

DEEP LEARNING

A specialized RNN that recognizes temporal dependencies. It processes a 48-hour lookback window to forecast a 24-hour demand profile.

LOSS FUNC: HUBER

KNN Matcher

CLUSTERING

Maps your profile to the closest match among 42 PRECON house archetypes. This ensures realistic seeding even when historical data is absent.

DISTANCE: EUCLIDEAN

Mathematical Handshake

PHYSICS ENGINE

Computes a structural baseload using occupancy and area factors. Predictions are a synchronized blend of Physics, AI Inference, and Historical Calibration.

CALIBRATED BASELINE

Load Signature Mapping

The engine maps your household inventory against the sub-metered appliance signatures established in the e-Energy '19 (PRECON) dataset, augmented by our physics-based baseline constraints:

AC_kW Air Conditioning
PRECON Sensor
Refrigerator_kW Compressor Cycles
PRECON Sensor
UPS_kW Charging/Inversion
PRECON Sensor
WP_kW Water Pump Motor
PRECON Sensor
Kitchen_kW Oven & Kettle Load
PRECON Sensor
Laundary_kW Washing Machine
PRECON Sensor
Iron_kW Pressing Iron
Calibrated Physics
Fan_kW Household Fans
Calibrated Physics

These specific parameters allow our Random Forest model to recognize consumption spikes and differentiate between essential baseload and high-wattage appliance usage.

Technical Reference

Nadeem, Ahmad and Arshad, Naveed. "PRECON: Pakistan Residential Electricity Consumption Dataset." Proceedings of the Tenth ACM International Conference on Future Energy Systems (e-Energy '19). Phoenix, AZ, USA. pp. 52-57. 2019. doi: 10.1145/3307772.3328317